VWAP Push StrategyThis strategy is unfortunately not finished yet.
A pretty simple strategy. If price broke through VWAP and had three consecutive candles following the breakthroughs trend, the high of the third candle will be drawn. If this happened after a crossover of the vwap and price breaks through the high of the third candle, strategy will go long. Short will be the same after crossing under the vwap. A long or short will be closed after crossing the vwap in the opposite direction, so the vwap is kind of a trailing stop.
Unfortunately, I could not manage to stop the script from entering multiple times into one drawn high or low. Of course, if a high was crossed the script should wait for a new formed high before entering a new long. If someone would find a solution to this, it would be great, because I think it is a nice strategy .
Should work great scalping 5min charts (when scripting, I used the SPX for reference).
Cari dalam skrip untuk "THE SCRIPT"
TF Segmented Polynomial Regression [LuxAlgo]This indicator displays polynomial regression channels fitted using data within a user selected time interval.
The model is fitted using the same method described in our previous script:
Settings
Degree: Degree of the fitted polynomial
Width: Multiplicative factor of the model RMSE. Controls the width of the polynomial regression's channels
Timeframe: Fits the polynomial regression using data within the selected timeframe interval
Show fit for new bars: If selected, will fit the regression model for newly generated bars, else the previous fitted value is displayed.
Src: Input source
Usage
Segmented (or piecewise) models yield multiple fits by first partitioning the data into multiple intervals from specific partitioning conditions. In this script this partitioning condition is for a user selected timeframe to change.
Segmented models can be particularly pertinent for market prices, which often describes a series of local trends.
Segmented polynomial regressions can describe the nature of underlying trends in the price from their fit, such as if an underlying trend is more linear (trending) or constant (ranging), and if a trend is monotonic.
The above chart shows a monthly partitioning on SPX 15m, using a polynomial regression of degree 3. Channel extremities allows highlighting local tops/bottoms.
For real time applications users can choose to fit a current model to incoming price data using the Show fit for new bars settings.
Details
The script does not make use of line.new to display the segmented linear regressions, which allows showing a higher number of historical fits. Each channel extremity as well as the model fit is displayed from the plot function, as such user can more easily set alerts on them.
It is important to note that achieving this requires accessing future price data, as such this script is subject to lookahead bias, historical results differ from the results one could have obtained in real-time.
Input Source█ OVERVIEW
This script demonstrates how your script can provide multiple input source selections while still allowing the use of an external indicator input.
█ CONCEPTS
There are occasions when one needs to provide script users with multiple input source selections while still allowing the selection of an external input. This is usually impossible because for external indicators to appear in an input widget's dropdown menu, only one input.source() call must be used in the script. If multiple calls are used, then no external indicator can be selected in any of the script's input widgets.
This script demonstrates how you can provide input sources offering a selection among the usual source built-ins ( open , high , low , close , hl2 , hlc3 , ohlc4 , hlcc4 ), but without the ability for users to select an external indicator. This allows your script to use multiple source inputs while still using one source input allowing the selection of an external input.
Look first. Then leap.
Ichimoku Cloud MasterIchimoku Cloud Master aims to provide the ichimoku trader with easy alert functionality to not miss out on valuable trade setups. The key purpose of this script is to better visualise crucial moments in Ichimoku trading. These alerts should not be used for botting in my opinion as they always need a human to confirm the ichimoku market structure. For example, is the Kijun-Sen flat and too far away from price? A good ichimoku trader will not enter at such a point in time.
Explanation of script:
Chikou(lagging span): pink line, this is price plotted 26 bars ago. People ignore the power of this it is crucial to see how chikou behaves towards past price action as seen in the chart below where we got an entry at red arrow because chikou bounced from past fractal bottom.
Kijun-Sen(base line): Black line or color coded line. This is the equilibrium of last 26 candles. To me this is the most important line in the system as it attracts price.
Kijun = (Highest high of 26 periods + Lowest low of 26 periods) ÷ 2
Tenkan-Sen(conversion line): Blue line. This is the equilibrium of last 9 candles. In a strong uptrend price stays above this line.
Tenkan = (Highest high of 9 periods + Lowest low of 9 periods) ÷ 2
Senkou A (Leading span A)= Pink cloud line, this is the average of the 2 components projected 26 bars in the future.
Senkou A = (Tenkan + Kijun) ÷ 2
Senkou B (Leading span B) = Green cloud line, this is the 52 day equilibrium projected 26 bars in the future.
Senkou B = (Highest high of prior 52 periods + Lowest low of prior 52 periods) ÷ 2
Notice how the distance between Chikou and the cloud is also 52 bars. This is all part of Hosoda's numbers which I am not going to explain here.
Fractals: These are the black triangles you find at key turning point. If you want to know how they work reseach williams fractals. I've used fractals with a period of 9 as it is an ichimoku number. These fractals are useful when working with ichimoku wave theory. Again I will not explain that here but in further education
Fractal Support: Ability to extend lines from the fractals which can be used as an entry/exit mechanism in your trading. For example wait for tenkan to cross kijun and then enter on fractal breakout.
Signals:
Crossing of Chikou (lagging span) with past Kijun-Sen: this will color code the Bars / Kijun-Sen (you can turn this off in options)
The script also has a signal for this, this will be the green and purple diamonds. Where green is bullish and purple is bearish.
wy is this important?
When current price plotted 26 candles back (chikou) crosses over the past equilibrium (kijun-sen) this usualy means price has moved past resistance levels where sellers come in. This indicates a switch in market structure and price is bullish from this point, this is the same in the other direction.
Kumo Twist: when the kumo cloud (future) has a crossover from for example green to red (bull to bear). The script plots these using the colored cross symbols as seen in the picture above. A chikou cross + a Kumo twist at same bar of next to eachother below the cloud can be a great entry sign: this would be an entry after cross in the chart above.
Kijun Bounce: when in an uptrend the price retraces back to Kijun-Sen and starts to go back up. These are marked by the yellow circles as seen in chart below:
low below Kijun-Sen and close above it
Strong Trend: when Tenkan is above Kijun, price above cloud, future cloud green, chikou above close, chikou above Kijun we establish a strong bullish trend. For bearish the exact opposite. The script has a function to send an alert at the start of such trends and to plot them with small colored circles above the bars.
Customisation:
I've added options to disable specific aspects of the indicator for those traders who do not want to use all aspects of the indicator. In the customisation tab I've given each part a clear title so you can use your own colors/shapes.
The perfect entry?
Further info:
Look into my education pane, I will be adding education in the future. The chance of me making a more advanced version of the script including line forecasting etc is rather high so watch out for that.
For those who want to master this system I recommend reading the book:
How to make money with the ichimoku system by Balkrishna M. Sadekar
Or the originals books by Hosoda the inventor of Ichimoku if you can get your hands on them and can read Japanese.
Almost all info about the ichimoku system you find on the internet will lose you money because they reduce the system to simple signals that do not generate money.
I will be providing educational material on tradingview using this indicator.
FULL MA Optimization ScriptHello!
This script measures the performance of 10 moving averages and compares them!
Crossover and crossunders are both tested.
The tested moving averages include: TEMA, DEMA, EMA, SMA, ALMA, HMA, T3 Average, WMA, VWMA, LSMA.
You can select the length of the moving averages and the data source (I.E, close, open, ohlc4, etc.) and the script will calculate your selections!
For instance, if you select a length of 32 and a source of ohlc4 for crossovers, the script will assign the ten moving averages that length and data source and compare the performance for ohlc4 crossovers of the 32TEMA, 32DEMA, 32SMA, 32WMA, etc. If you select crossunder, the script will calculate the performance of ohlc4 crossunders of the same moving average lengths.
Moving average performances are listed in descending order (best to worst) and are categorized by tier: Upper-Tier, Mid-Tier, Lower-Tier. The Upper-Tier displays the three best performing averages relative to the MA length and data source, for the asset on the relevant chart timeframe. The Lower-Tier displays the three worst performing averages. The Mid-Tier displays the moving averages whose performance did not achieve a top three spot or a bottom three spot.
Also calculated is the moving average which achieved the highest cumulative gain/loss and the lowest cumulative gain/loss. Any asset and timeframe can be tested; the script recalculates relative to the chart timeframe. I added a "Benchmark Moving Average" free parameter and a "Custom Moving Average" free parameter. The two operate identically; you can set the length and data source of both for quick and simple comparison between differing average lengths and sources.
If "Crossover" is selected, the "(X Candles)" displayed on the tables reflects the average number of sessions the data source remains above a moving average following a crossover. If "Crossunder" is selected, the "(X Candles)" reflects the average number of sessions the data source remains below the moving average following a crossunder.
If "Crossover" is selected, the listed "X%" reflects the average percentage gain/loss following a source crossover of a moving average up until the source crosses back under the moving average. If "Crossunder" is selected, the listed "X%" reflects the average percentage gain/loss following a source crossunder of a moving average up until the source crosses back over the moving average.
If "Crossover" is selected, the listed "X Crosses" reflects the number of instances in which the source crossed over a moving average. If "Crossunder" is selected, the listed "X Crosses" reflects the number of instances in which the source crossed under a moving average.
Additional tooltips and instructions are included should you access the user input menu.
The moving averages can be plotted as a gradient (highest priced MA to lowest priced MA) alongside the best performing moving average. The moving averages can be plotted in full color, light color alongside the best performing average, or not plotted.
This script improves upon a similar script I have released:
I decided not to update the previous script. The previous script calculates crossovers only and, due to being less code intensive, calculates much quicker. If a user is concerned only with price crossovers, not crossunders, the original script is a better option! It's faster, making it the preferable choice!
This script "FULL MA Optimization" calculates crossovers/crossunders and incorporates additional plot styles. I ran into trouble a few times where the script was too large to run on TV. This script is not "slow", I suppose; however, calculations and parameter modifications take a bit longer than the original script!
neutronix community bot ML + Alerts 4h-daily (mod. capissimo)Gm traders,
i have been a python programmer for some years studying artificial intelligence for general purpose; after some time i finally decided to have a look at some finance related stuff and scripts.
Moved by curiosity i've decided to make some but decisive modifications to a script i tried to use initially but without success: the LVQ machine learning strategy.
So after studying the charts and indicators, i have rewritten this script made by Capissimo and added heavy filtering thanks to vwap and vwma, then fixed repaint and other issues.
I hope you enjoy it and that it could increase your possibilities of success in trading.
HOW TO USE THE SCRIPT
Add the script to 3h+ charts like for example BTC 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, daily. (In order for it to work on shorter timeframes charts you can try to change to lookback window but i dont advise it).
Change only rsi and volfilter(volume filtering) settings to try to find the best winrate. Leave dataset to open. Fyi the winrate isn't 100% accurate but can give you a raw vision of final results.
Use alerts included for trading and and in options click on 'Once per bar'. If you have checked 'Reverse Signals' in the control panel you have got more 'risky' signals so be advised if trading futures and stocks.
Exit trade signals not provided, so it is recommended the use of take profits and stop loss (1.5:1 ratio)
As always, the script is for study purposes. Do not risk more than you can spend!
Original LVQ-based strategy made by capissimo
Modified by gravisxv 13/10/2021
RSI+PA+DCA StrategyDear Tradingview community,
This RSI based trading strategy is created as a training exercise. I am not a professional trader, but a committed hobbyist. This not a finished trading strategy meant for trading, but more a combination of different trading ideas I liked to explore deeper. The aim with this exercise was to gain more knowledge and understanding about price averaging and dollar cost averaging strategies. Aside that I wanted to learn how to program a pyramiding strategy, how to plot different order entry layers and how to open positions on a specific time interval.
In this script I adapted code from a couple of strategy examples by Coinrule . Who wrote simple and powerful examples of RSI based strategies and pyramiding strategies.
Also the HOWTO scripts shared by vitvlkv were very helpful for this exercise. In the script description you can find all the sources to the code.
A PA strategy could be a helpful addition to ease the 'stress-management to buy when price drops and resolution in selling when the price is rising' (Coinrule).
The idea behind the strategy is fairly simple and is based on an RSI strategy of buying low. A position is entered when the RSI and moving average conditions are met. The position is closed when it reaches a specified take profit percentage. As soon as the first the position is openend multiple PA (price average) layers are setup based on a specified percentage of price drop. When the price crosses the layer another position with somewhat the same amount of assets is entered. This causes the average cost price (the red plot line) to decrease. If the price drops more, another similar amount of assets is bought with another price average decrease as result. When the price starts rising again the different positions are separately closed when each reaches its specified take profit. The positions can be re-openend when the price drops again. And so on. When the price rises more and crosses over the average price and reached the specified take profit on top of it, it closes all the positions at once and cancels all orders. From that moment on it waits for another price dip before it opens a new position.
Another option is to activate a DCA function that opens a position based on a fixed specified amount. It enters a position at the start of every week and only when there are already other positions openend and if the current price is below the average price of the position. Like this buying on a time interval can help lowering the average price in case the market is down.
I read in some articles that price averaging is also called dollar cost averaging as the result is somewhat the same. Although DCA is really based on buying on fixed time intervals. These strategies are both considered long term investment strategies that can be profitable in the long run and are not suitable for short term investment schemes. The downturn is that the postion size increases when the general market trend is going down and that you have to patiently wait until the market start rising again.
Another notable aspect is that the logic in this strategy works the way it does because the entries are exited based on the FIFO (first in first out) close entry rule. This means that the first exit is applied to the first entry position that is openend. In other words that when the third entry reaches its take profit level and exits, it actually exits the first entry. If you take a close look in the 'List of Trades' of your Strategy Tester panel, you can see that some 'Long1' entries are closed by an 'Exit 3' and not by an 'Exit 1'. This means that your trade partly loses, but causes a decrease in average price that is later balanced out by lower or repeated entering and closing other positions. You can change this logic to a real sequential way of closing your entries, but this changes the averaging logic considerably. In case you want to test this you need to change, in this line in the strategy call 'close_entries_rule = "FIFO"', the word FIFO to ANY.
In the settings you can specify the percentage of portfolio to use for each trade to spread the risk and for each order a trading fee of 0.075% is calculated.
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Automated - Fibs with Limit only ordersAutomated - Fibs with Limit only orders
This script was designed to demonstrate how you can use a single alert to move your limit orders around.
It is not meant to be traded live and has been built to work with Binance Futures Testnet.
You will notice a lot of plots with 5 different titles.
New = Place your limit buy at a fixed-price.
Move = Cancel the current limit buy and place it at the new fixed-price.
Filled = Cancel any limit closes and places them anew based on the new average and take profit.
Cancel = Cancels exisiting limit buys.
Cloes All = Limit close filled, no commands necessary.
The default quantity in the command is the minimum order size on Binance.
Settings
Live
- If enabled it will only place trades after the "Stat Timestamp + Start Delay" that you provide.
Start Timestamp
- Use something similar to epochconverter to get the current timestamp.
Start Delay
- Gives you 1 minute by default to start the script and create your alert before it begins looking for a new entry.
Leverage
- Default 1. Affects the "Take Profit and DCA When" Settings.
Take Profit %
- This is the percentage above the current average you'd like to place your position close at.
DCA When %
- The percentage below your last entry that you're willing to buy again.
Note: This strategy has no stop-loss and pyramiding is enabled. It is not built for, or recommended to run live.
I hope this opens some doors and helps advance your personal trading system.
Good luck and happy scripting!
Filter Information Box - PineCoders FAQWhen designing filters it can be interesting to have information about their characteristics, which can be obtained from the set of filter coefficients (weights). The following script analyzes the impulse response of a filter in order to return the following information:
Lag
Smoothness via the Herfindahl index
Percentage Overshoot
Percentage Of Positive Weights
The script also attempts to determine the type of the analyzed filter, and will issue warnings when the filter shows signs of unwanted behavior.
DISPLAYED INFORMATION AND METHODS
The script displays one box on the chart containing two sections. The filter metrics section displays the following information:
- Lag : Measured in bars and calculated from the convolution between the filter's impulse response and a linearly increasing sequence of value 0,1,2,3... . This sequence resets when the impulse response crosses under/over 0.
- Herfindahl index : A measure of the filter's smoothness described by Valeriy Zakamulin. The Herfindahl index measures the concentration of the filter weights by summing the squared filter weights, with lower values suggesting a smoother filter. With normalized weights the minimum value of the Herfindahl index for low-pass filters is 1/N where N is the filter length.
- Percentage Overshoot : Defined as the maximum value of the filter step response, minus 1 multiplied by 100. Larger values suggest higher overshoots.
- Percentage Positive Weights : Percentage of filter weights greater than 0.
Each of these calculations is based on the filter's impulse response, with the impulse position controlled by the Impulse Position setting (its default is 1000). Make sure the number of inputs the filter uses is smaller than Impulse Position and that the number of bars on the chart is also greater than Impulse Position . In order for these metrics to be as accurate as possible, make sure the filter weights add up to 1 for low-pass and band-stop filters, and 0 for high-pass and band-pass filters.
The comments section displays information related to the type of filter analyzed. The detection algorithm is based on the metrics described above. The script can detect the following type of filters:
All-Pass
Low-Pass
High-Pass
Band-Pass
Band-Stop
It is assumed that the user is analyzing one of these types of filters. The comments box also displays various warnings. For example, a warning will be displayed when a low-pass/band-stop filter has a non-unity pass-band, and another is displayed if the filter overshoot is considered too important.
HOW TO SET THE SCRIPT UP
In order to use this script, the user must first enter the filter settings in the section provided for this purpose in the top section of the script. The filter to be analyzed must then be entered into the:
f(input)
function, where `input` is the filter's input source. By default, this function is a simple moving average of period length . Be sure to remove it.
If, for example, we wanted to analyze a Blackman filter, we would enter the following:
f(input)=>
pi = 3.14159,sum = 0.,sumw = 0.
for i = 0 to length-1
k = i/length
w = 0.42 - 0.5 * cos(2 * pi * k) + 0.08 * cos(4 * pi * k)
sumw := sumw + w
sum := sum + w*input
sum/sumw
EXAMPLES
In this section we will look at the information given by the script using various filters. The first filter we will showcase is the linearly weighted moving average (WMA) of period 9.
As we can see, its lag is 2.6667, which is indeed correct as the closed form of the lag of the WMA is equal to (period-1)/3 , which for period 9 gives (9-1)/3 which is approximately equal to 2.6667. The WMA does not have overshoots, this is shown by the the percentage overshoot value being equal to 0%. Finally, the percentage of positive weights is 100%, as the WMA does not possess negative weights.
Lets now analyze the Hull moving average of period 9. This moving average aims to provide a low-lag response.
Here we can see how the lag is way lower than that of the WMA. We can also see that the Herfindahl index is higher which indicates the WMA is smoother than the HMA. In order to reduce lag the HMA use negative weights, here 55% (as there are 45% of positive ones). The use of negative weights creates overshoots, we can see with the percentage overshoot being 26.6667%.
The WMA and HMA are both low-pass filters. In both cases the script correctly detected this information. Let's now analyze a simple high-pass filter, calculated as follows:
input - sma(input,length)
Most weights of a high-pass filters are negative, which is why the lag value is negative. This would suggest the indicator is able to predict future input values, which of course is not possible. In the case of high-pass filters, the Herfindahl index is greater than 0.5 and converges toward 1, with higher values of length . The comment box correctly detected the type of filter we were using.
Let's now test the script using the simple center of gravity bandpass filter calculated as follows:
wma(input,length) - sma(input,length)
The script correctly detected the type of filter we are using. Another type of filter that the script can detect is band-stop filters. A simple band-stop filter can be made as follows:
input - (wma(input,length) - sma(input,length))
The script correctly detect the type of filter. Like high-pass filters the Herfindahl index is greater than 0.5 and converges toward 1, with greater values of length . Finally the script can detect all-pass filters, which are filters that do not change the frequency content of the input.
WARNING COMMENTS
The script can give warning when certain filter characteristics are detected. One of them is non-unity pass-band for low-pass filters. This warning comment is displayed when the weights of the filter do not add up to 1. As an example, let's use the following function as a filter:
sum(input,length)
Here the filter pass-band has non unity, and the sum of the weights is equal to length . Therefore the script would display the following comments:
We can also see how the metrics go wild (note that no filter type is detected, as the detected filter could be of the wrong type). The comment mentioning the detection of high overshoot appears when the percentage overshoot is greater than 50%. For example if we use the following filter:
5*wma(input,length) - 4*sma(input,length)
The script would display the following comment:
We can indeed see high overshoots from the filter:
@alexgrover for PineCoders
Look first. Then leap.
TTM Squeeze Scanner This script scans for TTM Squeezes for the crypto symbols included in the body of the script. The timeframe for the squeeze scan is controlled within the input not the chart.
This script is a merge of @Nico.Muselle's TTM Squeeze script and @QuantNomad's custom screener script. Thanks to both of them!
Fibonacci Exponential Moving Averages ( EMA )Here you can have 4 EMA on one indicator. The inputs are for 8, 13, 21 and 55 previous open&close which are from Fibonacci sequence.
How to : To use the script, click on "Add to Favourite Scripts", then load the script from Indicators on the Chart.
VWAP Supply & Demand Zones PRO**Overview:**
This script represents a major evolution of the original "VWAP Supply and Demand Zones" indicator. Initially created to explore price interaction with VWAP, it has now matured into a robust and feature-rich tool for identifying high-probability zones of institutional buying and selling pressure. The update introduces volume and momentum validation, dynamic zone management, alert logic, and a visual dashboard (HUD) — all designed for improved precision and clarity. The structural improvements, anti-repainting logic, and significant added utility warranted releasing this as a new script rather than a minor update.
---
### What It Does:
This indicator dynamically detects **supply and demand zones** using VWAP-based logic combined with **volume** and **momentum confirmation**. When price crosses VWAP with strength, it identifies the potential zone of excess demand (below VWAP) or supply (above VWAP), marking it visually with colored regions on the chart.
Each zone is extended for a user-defined duration, monitored for touch interactions (tests), and tracked for possible breaks. The script helps traders interpret price behavior around these institutional zones as either **reversal** opportunities or **continuation** confirmation depending on context and strategy preference.
---
### How It Works:
* **VWAP Basis**: Zones are anchored at VWAP at the time of a significant cross.
* **Volume & Momentum Filters**: Crosses are only considered valid if backed by above-average volume and notable price momentum.
* **Zone Drawing**: Validated supply and demand zones are drawn as boxes on the chart. Each is extended forward for a customizable number of bars.
* **Touch Counting**: Zones track the number of price touches. Alerts are issued after a user-defined number of tests.
* **Break Detection**: If price closes significantly beyond a zone boundary, the zone is marked as broken and visually dimmed.
* **Visual Dashboard (HUD)**: A compact real-time HUD displays VWAP value, active zone counts, and current market bias.
---
### How to Use It:
**Reversal Trading:**
* Look for price **rejecting** a zone after touching it.
* Use rejection candles or secondary indicators (e.g., RSI divergence) to confirm.
* These setups may offer low-risk entries when price respects the zone.
**Continuation Trading:**
* A **break of a zone** suggests strong directional bias.
* Use confirmed zone breaks to enter in the direction of momentum.
* Ideal in trending environments, especially with high volume and ATR movement.
---
### Key Inputs:
* **VWAP Length**: Moving VWAP period (default: 20)
* **Zone Width %**: Percentage size of zone buffer (default: 0.5%)
* **Min Touches**: How many times price must test a zone before alerts trigger
* **Zone Extension**: How far into the future zones are projected
* **Volume & ATR Filters**: Ensure only strong, valid crossovers create zones
---
### Alerts:
You can enable alerts for:
* **New zone creation**
* **Zone tests (after minimum touch count)**
* **Zone breaks**
* **VWAP crosses**
* **Active presence inside a zone (entry conditions)**
These alerts help automate market monitoring, making it suitable for discretionary or systematic workflows.
---
### Why It's a New Script:
This is not a cosmetic update. The internal logic, signal generation, filtering methodology, visual engine, and UX framework have been entirely rebuilt from the ground up. The result is a highly adaptive, precision-oriented tool — appropriate for intraday scalpers and swing traders alike. It goes far beyond the original in terms of functionality and reliability, justifying a fresh release.
---
### Suitable Markets and Timeframes:
* Works across all liquid markets (crypto, equities, futures, forex)
* Best used on timeframes where volume data is stable (5m and above recommended)
* Recalibrate inputs for optimal detection across instruments
FvgPanel█ OVERVIEW
This library provides functionalities for creating and managing a display panel within a Pine Script™ indicator. Its primary purpose is to offer a structured way to present Fair Value Gap (FVG) information, specifically the nearest bullish and bearish FVG levels across different timeframes (Current, MTF, HTF), directly on the chart. The library handles the table's structure, header initialization, and dynamic cell content updates.
█ CONCEPTS
The core of this library revolves around presenting summarized FVG data in a clear, tabular format. Key concepts include:
FVG Data Aggregation and Display
The panel is designed to show at-a-glance information about the closest active FVG mitigation levels. It doesn't calculate these FVGs itself but relies on the main script to provide this data. The panel is structured with columns for timeframes (TF), Bullish FVGs, and Bearish FVGs, and rows for "Current" (LTF), "MTF" (Medium Timeframe), and "HTF" (High Timeframe).
The `panelData` User-Defined Type (UDT)
To facilitate the transfer of information to be displayed, the library defines a UDT named `panelData`. This structure is central to the library's operation and is designed to hold all necessary values for populating the panel's data cells for each relevant FVG. Its fields include:
Price levels for the nearest bullish and bearish FVGs for LTF, MTF, and HTF (e.g., `nearestBullMitLvl`, `nearestMtfBearMitLvl`).
Boolean flags to indicate if these FVGs are classified as "Large Volume" (LV) (e.g., `isNearestBullLV`, `isNearestMtfBearLV`).
Color information for the background and text of each data cell, allowing for conditional styling based on the FVG's status or proximity (e.g., `ltfBullBgColor`, `mtfBearTextColor`).
The design of `panelData` allows the main script to prepare all display-related data and styling cues in one object, which is then passed to the `updatePanel` function for rendering. This separation of data preparation and display logic keeps the library focused on its presentation task.
Visual Cues and Formatting
Price Formatting: Price levels are formatted to match the instrument's minimum tick size using an internal `formatPrice` helper function, ensuring consistent and accurate display.
Large FVG Icon: If an FVG is marked as a "Large Volume" FVG in the `panelData` object, a user-specified icon (e.g., an emoji) is prepended to its price level in the panel, providing an immediate visual distinction.
Conditional Styling: The background and text colors for each FVG level displayed in the panel can be individually controlled via the `panelData` object, enabling the main script to implement custom styling rules (e.g., highlighting the overall nearest FVG across all timeframes).
Handling Missing Data: If no FVG data is available for a particular cell (i.e., the corresponding level in `panelData` is `na`), the panel displays "---" and uses a specified background color for "Not Available" cells.
█ CALCULATIONS AND USE
Using the `FvgPanel` typically involves a two-stage process: initialization and dynamic updates.
Step 1: Panel Creation
First, an instance of the panel table is created once, usually during the script's initial setup. This is done using the `createPanel` function.
Call `createPanel()` with parameters defining its position on the chart, border color, border width, header background color, header text color, and header text size.
This function initializes the table with three columns ("TF", "Bull FVG", "Bear FVG") and three data rows labeled "Current", "MTF", and "HTF", plus a header row.
Store the returned `table` object in a `var` variable to persist it across bars.
// Example:
var table infoPanel = na
if barstate.isfirst
infoPanel := panel.createPanel(
position.top_right,
color.gray,
1,
color.new(color.gray, 50),
color.white,
size.small
)
Step 2: Panel Updates
On each bar, or whenever the FVG data changes (typically on `barstate.islast` or `barstate.isrealtime` for efficiency), the panel's content needs to be refreshed. This is done using the `updatePanel` function.
Populate an instance of the `panelData` UDT with the latest FVG information. This includes setting the nearest bullish/bearish mitigation levels for LTF, MTF, and HTF, their LV status, and their desired background and text colors.
Call `updatePanel()`, passing the persistent `table` object (from Step 1), the populated `panelData` object, the icon string for LV FVGs, the default text color for FVG levels, the background color for "N/A" cells, and the general text size for the data cells.
The `updatePanel` function will then clear previous data and fill the table cells with the new values and styles provided in the `panelData` object.
// Example (inside a conditional block like 'if barstate.islast'):
var panelData fvgDisplayData = panelData.new()
// ... (logic to populate fvgDisplayData fields) ...
// fvgDisplayData.nearestBullMitLvl = ...
// fvgDisplayData.ltfBullBgColor = ...
// ... etc.
if not na(infoPanel)
panel.updatePanel(
infoPanel,
fvgDisplayData,
"🔥", // LV FVG Icon
color.white,
color.new(color.gray, 70), // NA Cell Color
size.small
)
This workflow ensures that the panel is drawn only once and its cells are efficiently updated as new data becomes available.
█ NOTES
Data Source: This library is solely responsible for the visual presentation of FVG data in a table. It does not perform any FVG detection or calculation. The calling script must compute or retrieve the FVG levels, LV status, and desired styling to populate the `panelData` object.
Styling Responsibility: While `updatePanel` applies colors passed via the `panelData` object, the logic for *determining* those colors (e.g., highlighting the closest FVG to the current price) resides in the calling script.
Performance: The library uses `table.cell()` to update individual cells, which is generally more efficient than deleting and recreating the table on each update. However, the frequency of `updatePanel` calls should be managed by the main script (e.g., using `barstate.islast` or `barstate.isrealtime`) to avoid excessive processing on historical bars.
`series float` Handling: The price level fields within the `panelData` UDT (e.g., `nearestBullMitLvl`) can accept `series float` values, as these are typically derived from price data. The internal `formatPrice` function correctly handles `series float` for display.
Dependencies: The `FvgPanel` itself is self-contained and does not import other user libraries. It uses standard Pine Script™ table and string functionalities.
█ EXPORTED TYPES
panelData
Represents the data structure for populating the FVG information panel.
Fields:
nearestBullMitLvl (series float) : The price level of the nearest bullish FVG's mitigation point (bottom for bull) on the LTF.
isNearestBullLV (series bool) : True if the nearest bullish FVG on the LTF is a Large Volume FVG.
ltfBullBgColor (series color) : Background color for the LTF bullish FVG cell in the panel.
ltfBullTextColor (series color) : Text color for the LTF bullish FVG cell in the panel.
nearestBearMitLvl (series float) : The price level of the nearest bearish FVG's mitigation point (top for bear) on the LTF.
isNearestBearLV (series bool) : True if the nearest bearish FVG on the LTF is a Large Volume FVG.
ltfBearBgColor (series color) : Background color for the LTF bearish FVG cell in the panel.
ltfBearTextColor (series color) : Text color for the LTF bearish FVG cell in the panel.
nearestMtfBullMitLvl (series float) : The price level of the nearest bullish FVG's mitigation point on the MTF.
isNearestMtfBullLV (series bool) : True if the nearest bullish FVG on the MTF is a Large Volume FVG.
mtfBullBgColor (series color) : Background color for the MTF bullish FVG cell.
mtfBullTextColor (series color) : Text color for the MTF bullish FVG cell.
nearestMtfBearMitLvl (series float) : The price level of the nearest bearish FVG's mitigation point on the MTF.
isNearestMtfBearLV (series bool) : True if the nearest bearish FVG on the MTF is a Large Volume FVG.
mtfBearBgColor (series color) : Background color for the MTF bearish FVG cell.
mtfBearTextColor (series color) : Text color for the MTF bearish FVG cell.
nearestHtfBullMitLvl (series float) : The price level of the nearest bullish FVG's mitigation point on the HTF.
isNearestHtfBullLV (series bool) : True if the nearest bullish FVG on the HTF is a Large Volume FVG.
htfBullBgColor (series color) : Background color for the HTF bullish FVG cell.
htfBullTextColor (series color) : Text color for the HTF bullish FVG cell.
nearestHtfBearMitLvl (series float) : The price level of the nearest bearish FVG's mitigation point on the HTF.
isNearestHtfBearLV (series bool) : True if the nearest bearish FVG on the HTF is a Large Volume FVG.
htfBearBgColor (series color) : Background color for the HTF bearish FVG cell.
htfBearTextColor (series color) : Text color for the HTF bearish FVG cell.
█ EXPORTED FUNCTIONS
createPanel(position, borderColor, borderWidth, headerBgColor, headerTextColor, headerTextSize)
Creates and initializes the FVG information panel (table). Sets up the header rows and timeframe labels.
Parameters:
position (simple string) : The position of the panel on the chart (e.g., position.top_right). Uses position.* constants.
borderColor (simple color) : The color of the panel's border.
borderWidth (simple int) : The width of the panel's border.
headerBgColor (simple color) : The background color for the header cells.
headerTextColor (simple color) : The text color for the header cells.
headerTextSize (simple string) : The text size for the header cells (e.g., size.small). Uses size.* constants.
Returns: The newly created table object representing the panel.
updatePanel(panelTable, data, lvIcon, defaultTextColor, naCellColor, textSize)
Updates the content of the FVG information panel with the latest FVG data.
Parameters:
panelTable (table) : The table object representing the panel to be updated.
data (panelData) : An object containing the FVG data to display.
lvIcon (simple string) : The icon (e.g., emoji) to display next to Large Volume FVGs.
defaultTextColor (simple color) : The default text color for FVG levels if not highlighted.
naCellColor (simple color) : The background color for cells where no FVG data is available ("---").
textSize (simple string) : The text size for the FVG level data (e.g., size.small).
Returns: _void
Enhanced Stock Ticker with 50MA vs 200MADescription
The Enhanced Stock Ticker with 50MA vs 200MA is a versatile Pine Script indicator designed to visualize the relative position of a stock's price within its short-term and long-term price ranges, providing actionable bullish and bearish signals. By calculating normalized indices based on user-defined lookback periods (defaulting to 50 and 200 bars), this indicator helps traders identify potential reversals or trend continuations. It offers the flexibility to plot signals either on the main price chart or in a separate lower pane, leveraging Pine Script v6's force_overlay functionality for seamless integration. The indicator also includes a customizable ticker table, visual fills, and alert conditions for automated trading setups.
Key Features
Dual Lookback Indices: Computes short-term (default: 50 bars) and long-term (default: 200 bars) indices, normalizing the closing price relative to the high/low range over the specified periods.
Flexible Signal Plotting: Users can toggle between plotting crossover signals (triangles) on the main price chart (location.abovebar/belowbar) or in the lower pane (location.top/bottom) using the Plot Signals on Main Chart option.
Crossover Signals: Generates bullish (Golden Cross) and bearish (Death Cross) signals when the short or long index crosses above 5 or below 95, respectively.
Visual Enhancements:
Plots short-term (blue) and long-term (white) indices in a separate pane with customizable lookback periods.
Includes horizontal reference lines at 0, 20, 50, 80, and 100, with green and red fills to highlight overbought/oversold zones.
Dynamic fill between indices (green when short > long, red when long > short) for quick trend visualization.
Displays a ticker and legend table in the top-right corner, showing the symbol and lookback periods.
Alert Conditions: Supports alerts for bullish and bearish crossovers on both short and long indices, enabling integration with TradingView's alert system.
Technical Innovation: Utilizes Pine Script v6's force_overlay parameter to plot signals on the main chart from a non-overlay indicator, combining the benefits of a separate pane and chart-based signals in a single script.
Technical Details
Calculation Logic:
Uses confirmed bars (barstate.isconfirmed) to calculate indices, ensuring reliability by avoiding real-time bar fluctuations.
Short-term index: (close - lowest(low, lookback_short)) / (highest(high, lookback_short) - lowest(low, lookback_short)) * 100
Long-term index: (close - lowest(low, lookback_long)) / (highest(high, lookback_long) - lowest(low, lookback_long)) * 100
Signals are triggered using ta.crossover() and ta.crossunder() for indices crossing 5 (bullish) and 95 (bearish).
Signal Plotting:
Main chart signals use force_overlay=true with location.abovebar/belowbar for precise alignment with price bars.
Lower pane signals use location.top/bottom for visibility within the indicator pane.
Plotting is controlled by boolean conditions (e.g., bullishLong and plot_on_chart) to ensure compliance with Pine Script's global scope requirements.
Performance Considerations: Optimized for efficiency by calculating indices only on confirmed bars and using lightweight plotting functions.
How to Use
Add to Chart:
Copy the script into TradingView's Pine Editor and add it to your chart.
Configure Settings:
Short Lookback Period: Adjust the short-term lookback (default: 50 bars) to match your trading style (e.g., 20 for shorter-term analysis).
Long Lookback Period: Adjust the long-term lookback (default: 200 bars) for broader market context.
Plot Signals on Main Chart: Check this box to display signals on the price chart; uncheck to show signals in the lower pane.
Interpret Signals:
Golden Cross (Bullish): Green (long) or blue (short) triangles indicate the index crossing above 5, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
Death Cross (Bearish): Red (long) or white (short) triangles indicate the index crossing below 95, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
Set Alerts:
Use TradingView's alert system to create notifications for the four alert conditions: Long Index Valley, Long Index Peak, Short Index Valley, and Short Index Peak.
Customize Visuals:
The ticker table displays the symbol and lookback periods in the top-right corner.
Adjust colors and styles via TradingView's settings if desired.
Example Use Cases
Swing Trading: Use the short-term index (e.g., 50 bars) to identify short-term reversals within a broader trend defined by the long-term index.
Trend Confirmation: Monitor the fill between indices to confirm whether the short-term trend aligns with the long-term trend.
Automated Trading: Leverage alert conditions to integrate with bots or manual trading strategies.
Notes
Testing: Always backtest the indicator on your chosen market and timeframe to validate its effectiveness.
Optional Histogram: The script includes a commented-out histogram for the index difference (index_short - index_long). Uncomment the plot(index_diff, ...) line to enable it.
Compatibility: Built for Pine Script v6 and tested on TradingView as of May 27, 2025.
Acknowledgments
This indicator was inspired by the need for a flexible tool that combines lower-pane analysis with main chart signals, made possible by Pine Script's force_overlay feature. Share your feedback or suggestions in the comments below, and happy trading!
1h Liquidity Swings Strategy with 1:2 RRLuxAlgo Liquidity Swings (Simulated):
Uses ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow to detect 1h swing highs (resistance) and swing lows (support).
The lookback parameter (default 5) controls swing point sensitivity.
Entry Logic:
Long: Uptrend, price crosses above 1h swing low (ta.crossover(low, support1h)), and price is below recent swing high (close < resistance1h).
Short: Downtrend, price crosses below 1h swing high (ta.crossunder(high, resistance1h)), and price is above recent swing low (close > support1h).
Take Profit (1:2 Risk-Reward):
Risk:
Long: risk = entryPrice - initialStopLoss.
Short: risk = initialStopLoss - entryPrice.
Take-profit price:
Long: takeProfitPrice = entryPrice + 2 * risk.
Short: takeProfitPrice = entryPrice - 2 * risk.
Set via strategy.exit’s limit parameter.
Stop-Loss:
Initial Stop-Loss:
Long: slLong = support1h * (1 - stopLossBuffer / 100).
Short: slShort = resistance1h * (1 + stopLossBuffer / 100).
Breakout Stop-Loss:
Long: close < support1h.
Short: close > resistance1h.
Managed via strategy.exit’s stop parameter.
Visualization:
Plots:
50-period SMA (trendMA, blue solid line).
1h resistance (resistance1h, red dashed line).
1h support (support1h, green dashed line).
Marks buy signals (green triangles below bars) and sell signals (red triangles above bars) using plotshape.
Usage Instructions
Add the Script:
Open TradingView’s Pine Editor, paste the code, and click “Add to Chart”.
Set Timeframe:
Use the 1-hour (1h) chart for intraday trading.
Adjust Parameters:
lookback: Swing high/low lookback period (default 5). Smaller values increase sensitivity; larger values reduce noise.
stopLossBuffer: Initial stop-loss buffer (default 0.5%).
maLength: Trend SMA period (default 50).
Backtesting:
Use the “Strategy Tester” to evaluate performance metrics (profit, win rate, drawdown).
Optimize parameters for your target market.
Notes on Limitations
LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings:
Simulated using ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow. LuxAlgo may include proprietary logic (e.g., volume or visit frequency filters), which requires the indicator’s code or settings for full integration.
Action: Please provide the Pine Script code or specific LuxAlgo settings if available.
Stop-Loss Breakout:
Uses closing price breakouts to reduce false signals. For more sensitive detection (e.g., high/low-based), I can modify the code upon request.
Market Suitability:
Ideal for high-liquidity markets (e.g., BTC/USD, EUR/USD). Choppy markets may cause false breakouts.
Action: Backtest in your target market to confirm suitability.
Fees:
Take-profit/stop-loss calculations exclude fees. Adjust for trading costs in live trading.
Swing Detection:
Swing high/low detection depends on market volatility. Optimize lookback for your market.
Verification
Tested in TradingView’s Pine Editor (@version=5):
plot function works without errors.
Entries occur strictly at 1h support (long) or resistance (short) in the trend direction.
Take-profit triggers at 1:2 risk-reward.
Stop-loss triggers on initial settings or 1h support/resistance breakouts.
Backtesting performs as expected.
Next Steps
Confirm Functionality:
Run the script and verify entries, take-profit (1:2), stop-loss, and trend filtering.
If issues occur (e.g., inaccurate signals, premature stop-loss), share backtest results or details.
LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings:
Provide the Pine Script code, settings, or logic details (e.g., volume filters) for LuxAlgo Liquidity Swings, and I’ll integrate them precisely.
VWAP table with color
## 📊 VWAP Table with Color – Clear VWAP Deviation at a Glance
This script displays a **VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price)** table in a non-intrusive, color-coded panel on your chart. It helps you **quickly assess where the current price stands relative to VWAP**, classified into sigma bands (standard deviations). The goal is to provide valuable VWAP insight **without cluttering the chart with multiple lines**.
---
### 🔍 Purpose & Concept
VWAP is a powerful tool used by institutional traders to measure the average price an asset has traded at throughout the day, based on both volume and price.
In this script:
- We **do not plot traditional VWAP lines** with multiple ±1σ, ±2σ, etc., on the chart.
- Instead, we **summarize VWAP and its relative position in a table**, color-coded by deviation.
- This provides the **same information**, but in a **cleaner, minimal, and visually digestible format**.
---
### 🧠 VWAP Deviation Classification
The script calculates how far the current price is from the VWAP, in units of **standard deviation (σ)**.
The formula is:
```plaintext
VWAP Delta σ = (Current Price - VWAP) / Standard Deviation
```
This gives you a normalized value for deviation from VWAP, and it is **clamped between -3 and +3** to avoid extreme outliers.
Each range is color-coded and classified as:
| VWAP Δσ | Zone | Interpretation | Color |
|---------|---------------|------------------------------------------|--------------|
| -3σ | Far Below | Strongly below VWAP – potentially oversold | 🔴 Red |
| -2σ | Below | Below VWAP – bearish territory | 🟠 Orange |
| -1σ | Slightly Below| Slightly under VWAP – weak signal | 🟡 Yellow |
| 0σ | At VWAP | Price is around VWAP – neutral zone | ⚪ Gray |
| +1σ | Slightly Above| Slightly above VWAP – weak bullish | 🟢 Lime Green |
| +2σ | Above | Above VWAP – bullish signal | 🟢 Green |
| +3σ | Far Above | Strongly above VWAP – potentially overbought | 🟦 Teal |
This **compact summary in the table** provides a clear situational view while keeping the chart clean.
---
### ⚙️ User Customization
Users can configure:
- **VWAP σ Multiplier** (default 0.1) to set the width of the optional VWAP band on the chart.
- **Table Position** (Top Center, Bottom Right, etc.).
- **Text Size** and **Text Color**.
- **Hide VWAP logic**: VWAP data can be hidden automatically on higher timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly).
- **Enable/disable the VWAP ±σ band lines** (optional visual aid).
---
### 📐 Technical Highlights
- VWAP is recalculated each day using `ta.vwap(hlc3, isNewPeriod, 1)`.
- The band width uses standard deviation and the selected multiplier: `VWAP ± σ * multiplier`.
- Table updates dynamically with the new VWAP values each day.
- To **avoid floating-point rounding issues**, `vwapDelta` is rounded before comparison, ensuring correct background color display.
---
### ✅ Why Use This?
- Keeps your chart **visually clean and readable**.
- Gives **immediate context** to current price action relative to VWAP.
- Helps **discretionary traders** or **scalpers** decide whether price is stretched too far from the mean.
- Easier than tracking multiple σ bands manually.
---
### Example Usage:
- On intraday timeframes, you can identify price exhaustion as it hits ±2σ or ±3σ.
- On a 5-minute chart, if price touches `+3σ`, you may consider taking profits on longs.
- On reversal setups, watch for price at `-3σ` with bullish divergence.
---
### 🧩 Future Enhancements (Optional Ideas)
- Add alerts for when `vwapDelta` crosses thresholds like ±2σ or ±3σ.
- Let user select the timeframe for VWAP source (e.g., 1H, 5M, etc.).
- Extend to display VWAP on session or weekly basis.
---
Let me know if you want a version of this script formatted and cleaned up for direct TradingView publication (with annotations, credits, and formatting). Would you like that?
Retirement Portfolio Dashboard1. Set It Up
Paste the script into the Pine Script editor in TradingView
Add to chart (use a daily chart for any TSX ticker)
Configure the inputs on the right panel:
Choose your ETF tickers (default: VFV, XAW, XIC)
Enter your target allocations (U.S., Global, Canada, Cash)
Set your current portfolio value and contribution plan
Adjust your expected return and rebalance trigger
📊 2. What It Tracks
💼 Allocation Overview
Target vs. actual % for each asset class
CAD value of each component
Performance YTD based on Jan 2nd start
Drift % to see how far each asset has deviated
📈 Growth Forecast
Future value projection with contributions
Weighted return (based on typical historical returns)
Inflation-adjusted real return (assuming 2% inflation)
⚠ Rebalancing
If any drift exceeds your set threshold (e.g., 5%), the script:
Highlights the issue in red
Displays "⚠ Rebalance Suggested"
Triggers a TradingView alert if you've activated it
🔔 3. Set Up Alerts
Go to Alerts > Create Alert
Choose your script from the dropdown
Under Condition, select "Rebalance Alert"
Choose your desired alert type (popup, email, webhook, etc.)
✅ 4. How to Use It Effectively
Task What to Do
Monitor allocations Check dashboard weekly or monthly
Spot imbalances Use Drift % and Status (green/red)
Forecast retirement growth Adjust contributions, return rate, and horizon
Prepare to rebalance Use alerts when drift > threshold
Tune assumptions Change expected returns or inflation rate as needed
💡 Tips
You can edit return assumptions (e.g., make Global equity more conservative)
Use this on a “blank” ticker (like TSX:XIC) so you don't overlay the chart
Copy values from your broker or retirement account to update real allocations
Dynamic Volume Profile PoC SwiftedgeOverview
The Dynamic Volume Profile PoC is a powerful and visually intuitive indicator designed to help traders identify key support and resistance levels using a unique combination of pivot points, volume analysis, and dynamic Point of Control (PoC) levels. This script overlays directly on your chart, providing clear visual cues for potential breakout and rejection zones, making it easier to spot high-probability trading opportunities.
What It Does
This indicator combines three core components to deliver actionable insights:
Pivot Points: Identifies significant swing highs and lows to establish potential support and resistance levels.
Volume Oscillator: Measures volume momentum to confirm the strength of price movements, ensuring that breakouts or rejections are backed by significant volume.
Dynamic Point of Control (PoC): Calculates the midpoint between consecutive pivot points to create dynamic PoC levels, which act as key areas where price is likely to either break through (breakout) or reverse (rejection).
These components work together to highlight critical price levels where the market is likely to react, giving traders a clear framework for decision-making.
How It Works
Pivot Detection: The script uses pivot highs and lows (based on user-defined Left Bars and Right Bars) to identify significant price levels. These pivots form the foundation for calculating PoC levels.
PoC Calculation: Each time a new pivot is detected, the script calculates the midpoint between the current pivot and the previous pivot, creating a dynamic PoC level. These levels are plotted as horizontal lines on the chart, with a maximum of Max PoC Lines to Show (default: 2) visible at any time.
Volume Confirmation: A volume oscillator (short EMA of volume minus long EMA of volume) is used to filter breakouts and rejections. Breakouts or rejections are only signaled if the volume oscillator exceeds the Volume Threshold (default: 20), ensuring that price movements are supported by strong volume.
Visual Cues:
PoC levels are drawn as cyan lines with optional semi-transparent zones (controlled by Show PoC Zones). These zones are colored green for potential breakouts (price above PoC) and red for potential rejections (price below PoC).
Labels above and below each PoC level indicate trading opportunities: "Long if breakout"/"Long if rejected" (green) and "Short if breakout"/"Short if rejected" (red), depending on the price's direction relative to the PoC.
Break signals ("B") are plotted above or below bars when price crosses a pivot level with sufficient volume, colored red for downward breaks and green for upward breaks.
How to Use
Add the Indicator: Add the "Dynamic Volume Profile PoC " to your chart in TradingView.
Adjust Settings:
Left Bars and Right Bars (default: 15): Control the sensitivity of pivot detection. Lower values make the script more sensitive to smaller price swings.
Volume Threshold (default: 20): Set the minimum volume oscillator value required to confirm breakouts or rejections. Increase this for stricter confirmation.
Max PoC Lines to Show (default: 2): Define how many PoC levels are displayed at once.
Show PoC Zones (default: true): Toggle semi-transparent zones around PoC levels for better visualization.
Label Spacing Factor (default: 0.5): Adjust the vertical spacing between labels and the PoC box. Increase this value (e.g., to 1.0 or 2.0) for more spacing, or decrease it (e.g., to 0.3) for less.
Interpret the Signals:
Look for PoC levels (cyan lines) as key areas of interest.
Use the labels to identify potential trades: "Long if breakout" indicates a buy opportunity if price breaks above the PoC, while "Short if rejected" suggests a sell if price fails to break through.
Watch for "B" signals to confirm breakouts or rejections with volume support.
Combine with Your Strategy: Use the PoC levels and break signals as part of your broader trading strategy, such as trend-following or mean-reversion setups.
Why This Script is Unique
The Dynamic Volume Profile PoC stands out by combining pivot points, volume analysis, and dynamic PoC levels into a single, cohesive tool. Unlike traditional volume profile indicators that require a fixed range, this script dynamically updates PoC levels based on recent price action, making it more responsive to current market conditions. The addition of volume confirmation ensures that signals are backed by market participation, reducing false breakouts. The visually appealing design, with customizable spacing and semi-transparent zones, makes it easy to interpret key levels at a glance, even for traders unfamiliar with Pine Script.
Notes
This script works best on timeframes where pivot points are meaningful (e.g., 1H, 4H, or daily charts).
Adjust the Label Spacing Factor to ensure labels are well-spaced for your chart's zoom level and instrument.
For instruments with high volatility, you may need to increase the Volume Threshold to filter out noise.
EMA and VWAP by Phil VoEMA and VWAP by Phil Vo
Description
This indicator combines two powerful technical analysis tools: Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Designed to assist traders in identifying trends and key price levels, this script overlays two customizable EMAs and a daily VWAP on your chart.
* EMA 1 (Blue): A fast-moving EMA with a default period of 9, ideal for short-term trend analysis.
* EMA 2 (Red): A slower EMA with a default period of 21, useful for confirming longer-term trends.
* VWAP (Yellow): The Volume Weighted Average Price, calculated using the typical price (HLC3) and volume, resetting daily. It serves as a dynamic support/resistance level and reflects the average price weighted by volume.
Features
* Customizable EMAs: Adjust the periods of both EMAs via the settings (minimum period: 1).
* Visual Clarity: Each line is plotted in a distinct color (Blue for EMA 1, Red for EMA 2, Yellow for VWAP) with a linewidth of 2 for easy identification.
* Daily VWAP: The VWAP resets at the start of each trading day, providing a reliable intraday reference point.
* Tooltips: Hover over the input settings to see descriptions of each EMA period.
How to Use
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Customize the EMA periods in the settings if desired (defaults are 9 and 21).
3. Use the EMAs to spot trends:
* When EMA 1 crosses above EMA 2, it may signal a bullish trend.
* When EMA 1 crosses below EMA 2, it may indicate a bearish trend.
4. Use the VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance level:
* Prices above VWAP might suggest bullish momentum.
* Prices below VWAP might indicate bearish pressure.
Settings
* EMA 1 Length: Set the period for the fast EMA (default: 9).
* EMA 2 Length: Set the period for the slow EMA (default: 21).
Notes
* The VWAP resets daily by default, making it most suitable for intraday trading.
* This script is open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0, so feel free to study or modify it!
Author
Created by Phil Vo. Happy trading!
How to Add This to TradingView
When you publish the script:
1. Paste the description above into the "Description" field in the "Publish Script" dialog.
2. Set the title as "EMA and VWAP by Phil Vo".
3. Choose "Public" visibility and "Open" access to share it with the community.
4. Add tags like "EMA", "VWAP", "Moving Average", "Trend", and "Volume" to help users find it.
This description provides a clear explanation of the indicator’s purpose, usage instructions, and customization options, making it accessible and helpful for TradingView users. Let me know if you’d like to adjust anything!
Transient Impact Model [ScorsoneEnterprises]This indicator is an implementation of the Transient Impact Model. This tool is designed to show the strength the current trades have on where price goes before they decay.
Here are links to more sophisticated research articles about Transient Impact Models than this post arxiv.org and arxiv.org
The way this tool is supposed to work in a simple way, is when impact is high price is sensitive to past volume, past trades being placed. When impact is low, it moves in a way that is more independent from past volume. In a more sophisticated system, perhaps transient impact should be calculated for each trade that is placed, not just the total volume of a past bar. I didn't do it to ensure parameters exist and aren’t na, as well as to have more iterations for optimization. Note that the value will change as volume does, as soon as a new candle occurs with no volume, the values could be dramatically different.
How it works
There are a few components to this script, so we’ll go into the equation and then the other functions used in this script.
// Transient Impact Model
transient_impact(params, price_change, lkb) =>
alpha = array.get(params, 0)
beta = array.get(params, 1)
lambda_ = array.get(params, 2)
instantaneous = alpha * volume
transient = 0.0
for t = 1 to lkb - 1
if na(volume )
break
transient := transient + beta * volume * math.exp(-lambda_ * t)
predicted_change = instantaneous + transient
math.pow(price_change - predicted_change, 2)
The parameters alpha, beta, and lambda all represent a different real thing.
Alpha (α):
Represents the instantaneous impact coefficient. It quantifies the immediate effect of the current volume on the price change. In the equation, instantaneous = alpha * volume , alpha scales the current bar's volume (volume ) to determine how much of the price change is due to immediate market impact. A larger alpha suggests that current volume has a stronger instantaneous influence on price.
Beta (β):
Represents the transient impact coefficient.It measures the lingering effect of past volumes on the current price change. In the loop calculating transient, beta * volume * math.exp(-lambda_ * t) shows that beta scales the volume from previous bars (volume ), contributing to a decaying effect over time. A higher beta indicates a stronger influence from past volumes, though this effect diminishes with time due to the exponential decay factor.
Lambda (λ):
Represents the decay rate of the transient impact.It controls how quickly the influence of past volumes fades over time in the transient component. In the term math.exp(-lambda_ * t), lambda determines the rate of exponential decay, where t is the time lag (in bars). A larger lambda means the impact of past volumes decays faster, while a smaller lambda implies a longer-lasting effect.
So in full.
The instantaneous term, alpha * volume , captures the immediate price impact from the current volume.
The transient term, sum of beta * volume * math.exp(-lambda_ * t) over the lookback period, models the cumulative, decaying effect of past volumes.
The total predicted_change combines these two components and is compared to the actual price change to compute an error term, math.pow(price_change - predicted_change, 2), which the script minimizes to optimize alpha, beta, and lambda.
Other parts of the script.
Objective function:
This is a wrapper function with a function to minimize so we get the best alpha, beta, and lambda values. In this case it is the Transient Impact Function, not something like a log-likelihood function, helps with efficiency for a high iteration count.
Finite Difference Gradient:
This function calculates the gradient of the objective function we spoke about. The gradient is like a directional derivative. Which is like the direction of the rate of change. Which is like the direction of the slope of a hill, we can go up or down a hill. It nudges around the parameter, and calculates the derivative of the parameter. The array of these nudged around parameters is what is returned after they are optimized.
Minimize:
This is the function that actually has the loop and calls the Finite Difference Gradient each time. Here is where the minimizing happens, how we go down the hill. If we are below a tolerance, we are at the bottom of the hill.
Applied
After an initial guess, we optimize the parameters and get the transient impact value. This number is huge, so we apply a log to it to make it more readable. From here we need some way to tell if the value is low or high. We shouldn’t use standard deviation because returns are not normally distributed, an IQR is similar and better for non normal data. We store past transient impact values in an array, so that way we can see the 25th and 90th percentiles of the data as a rolling value. If the current transient impact is above the 90th percentile, it is notably high. If below the 25th percentile, notably low. All of these values are plotted so we can use it as a tool.
Tool examples:
The idea around it is that when impact is low, there is room for big money to get size quickly and move prices around.
Here we see the price reacting in the IQR Bands. We see multiple examples where the value above the 90th percentile, the red line, corresponds to continuations in the trend, and below the 25th percentile, the purple line, corresponds to reversals. There is no guarantee these tools will be perfect, that is outlined in these situations, however there is clearly a correlation in this tool and trend.
This tool works on any timeframe, daily as we saw before, or lower like a two minute. The bands don’t represent a direction, like bullish or bearish, we need to determine that by interpreting price action. We see at open and at close there are the highest values for the transient impact. This is to be expected as these are the times with the highest volume of the trading day.
This works on futures as well as equities with the same context. Volume can be attributed to volatility as well. In volatile situations, more volatility comes in, and we can perceive it through the transient impact value.
Inputs
Users can enter the lookback value.
No tool is perfect, the transient impact value is also not perfect and should not be followed blindly. It is good to use any tool along with discretion and price action.
VIX bottom/top with color scale [Ox_kali]📊 Introduction
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The “VIX Bottom/Top with Color Scale” script is designed to provide an intuitive, color-coded visualization of the VIX (Volatility Index), helping traders interpret market sentiment and volatility extremes in real time.
It segments the VIX into clear threshold zones, each associated with a specific market condition—ranging from fear to calm—using a dynamic color-coded system.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
Intuitive Risk Interpretation: Color-coded zones make it easy to interpret market sentiment at a glance.
Dynamic Trend Detection: A 200-period SMA of the VIX is plotted and dynamically colored based on trend direction.
Customization and Flexibility: All colors are editable in the parameters panel, grouped under “## Color parameters ##”.
Visual Clarity: Key thresholds are marked with horizontal lines for quick reference.
Practical Trading Tool: Helps identify high-risk and low-risk environments based on volatility levels.
🔍 Key Indicators
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VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) : Measures market volatility and investor fear.
SMA 200 : Long-term trendline of the VIX, with color-coded direction (green = uptrend, red = downtrend).
Color-coded VIX Levels:
🔴 33+ → Something bad just happened
🟠 23–33 → Something bad is happening
🟡 17–23 → Something bad might happen
🟢 14–17 → Nothing bad is happening
✅ 12–14 → Nothing bad will ever happen
🔵 <12 → Something bad is going to happen
🧠 Originality and Purpose
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Unlike traditional VIX indicators that only plot a line, this script enhances interpretation through visual segmentation and dynamic trend tracking.
It serves as a risk-awareness tool that transforms the VIX into a simple, emotional market map.
This is the first version of the script, and future updates may include alerts, background fills, and more advanced features.
⚙️ How It Works
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The script maps the current VIX value to a range and applies the corresponding color.
It calculates a SMA 200 and colors it green or red depending on its slope.
It displays horizontal dotted lines at key thresholds (12, 14, 17, 23, 33).
All colors are configurable via input parameters under the group: "## Color parameters ##".
🧭 Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
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The VIX line changes color based on market condition zones.
The SMA line shows long-term direction with dynamic color.
Horizontal threshold lines visually mark the transitions between volatility zones.
Ideal for quickly identifying periods of fear, caution, or stability.
🛠️ Script Parameters
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Grouped under “## Color parameters ##”, the following elements are customizable:
🎨 VIX Zone Colors:
33+ → Red
23–33 → Orange
17–23 → Yellow
14–17 → Light Green
12–14 → Dark Green
<12 → Blue
📈 SMA Colors:
Uptrend → Green
Downtrend → Red
These settings allow users to match the script’s visuals to their preferred chart style or theme.
✅ Conclusion
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The “VIX Bottom/Top with Color Scale” is a clean, powerful script designed to simplify how traders view volatility.
By combining long-term trend data with real-time color-coded sentiment analysis, this script becomes a go-to reference for managing risk, timing trades, or simply staying in tune with market mood.
🧪 Notes
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This is version 1 of the script. More features such as alert conditions, background fill, and dashboard elements may be added soon. Feedback is welcome!
💡 Color code concept inspired by the original VIX interpretation chart by @nsquaredvalue on Twitter. Big thanks for the visual clarity! 💡
⚠️ Disclaimer
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This script is a visual tool designed to assist in market analysis. It does not guarantee future performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression ModelThis is the main version of the script. Click here for the Oscillator part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. The Oscillator version can be found here.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
